2* Arizona Diamondbacks +115
Daniel Hudson is looking for his first win of 2011, and I think he gets it this afternoon against the Reds in Cincinnati. He has dropped his first 3 starts, posting a 4.26 ERA through 19 innings. His best start of the year came two weeks ago against the Reds when he threw 7 innings and allowed 2 earned on just 3 hits. He is 1-2 in three career starts against Cincinnati, but has just a 2.05 ERA and a .909 WHIP. I see another solid outing this afternoon.
Reds' starter Mike Leake is 2-0 in 3 starts this season, with 2 strong outings in his wins. His one poor performance came against the Diamondbacks when he went 4.2 and allowed 6 earned on 9 hits.
We've got the Diamondbacks at a great price today as they have won 3 in a row to get back to .500, and the Reds have lost 4 in a row and 6 of 7. Look for Arizona to complete the sweep today.
2* Philadelphia Phillies -110
Wow this is some serious value. We are getting the 11-6 Phillies at near even money against the 8-10 Padres the day after they played 20 innings of baseball in a doubleheader split in which they used 9 different pitchers.
Philadelphia had a nice come from behind victory yesterday afternoon that will build some momentum going into San Diego. They are currently third in the majors with a .273 batting average and rank 9th in runs per game at 4.88. They are facing a Padres team that is hitting .222, good for last in the majors, and just .216 at home this season. They are averaging just 3.33 runs per game and 2.88 at home.
This is good news to Roy Oswalt who is looking for his third win of 2011. He is currently 2-0 in 3 starts with a 2.50 ERA and a WHIP of 1.000. In 16 career starts against the Padres, Oswalt is 10-2 with a 2.52 ERA. In 2010 against San Diego, he had 3 no decisions, throwing 23 innings and allowing just 4 earned. He is throwing on 5 days rest. In his career on this rest he has a 3.4 era as compared to his career 3.17. In 2010, Oswalt threw on 5 days rest 16 times with a 2.28 ERA and his only 2 complete games of the season. I fully expect him to dominate tonight.
Mat Latos will toe the rubber for the home squad and look to regain his past form. So far in 2011 after returning from the DL, he has not been sharp. He is 0-2 with 12.1 innings pitched, 8 earned runs and 3 homeruns allowed. In 2010 Latos threw against Philly twice with the Padres losing both times. He allowed just 4 earned in 12 innings, but the Phillies know they can beat him. Also, he has yet to show the same abilities a he had in his arsenal last season. Take the small chalk on the Phillies here tonight.