2* Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+120)
This runline should be favored, so well gladly take the plus money. The reason the moneyline is not as big as it should be is the Rockies' recent struggles. They are 1-6 in their last 7. They return home today after a 6 game road trip during which they won one game. That win came via today's starter -- Jhoulys Chacin, who went 7 innings and allowed just 2 earned on 3 runs at Arizona.
Chacin is 4-2 in 6 starts this season with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.146 WHIP. At home he's been even better, posting a 2-1 record with a 1.17 ERA and a .913 WHIP averaging 7.2 innings in 3 starts. He is facing the Mets for the first time, and I expect their unfamiliarity to allow him to cruise through the first 4 or 5 innings easily tonight. The Mets won three in a row before losing last night, but they are just 2-8 against teams with winning records and 8-16 against right handed starters. I don't expect them to hit Chacin well at all tonight.
The Rockies' offense will wake up tonight against Chris Capuano who is 2-3 in 5 starts with a 5.28 ERA and a 1.532 WHIP. In one road start this season he threw 5.2 innings and allowed 4 earned on 10 hits in a loss at Washington. Capuano faced the Rockies three weeks ago and got shelled for 7 earned in 5.2 innings. I'm liking the Rockies to stop their slide tonight and move to 5-0 against the Mets on the year with a big victory.